NV Poll Watch: Episode 1 (A User’s Guide to The Silver State Showdown)

twoseventy270

February 10, 2016

I would kill for some data.  Nevada is when we really find out whether the Bern is what happens if you hold a lit match for an extra half second or a four mile trip over hot coals.  The campaigns know something.  We know NOTHING.

Here’s another problem.  Even when we start getting polls, there is great potential for noise.  Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina have comparatively lengthy histories of mattering.

National pollsters are used to surveying there.  Local universities and media outlets have plenty of practice.  There’s no Ann Selzer of Nevada.

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